CNG Gas by Trucks / Costs Spreadsheet, Forest Lake PA to Manheim NY

You probably are aware of my series of blog posts about the new "Virtual Transmission Lines" by truck.

• Basic Overview:
  http://williamahuston.blogspot.com/2017/05/virtual-transmission-lines.html
• My first story, trucks spotted in Vestal:
  TinyURL.com/VestalBombTrucks
• MASSIVE 12-engine terminal proposed by "NG Advantage" near Binghamton: TinyURL.com/FentonBombTrucks
• Large 8 engine station proposed by "Pentagon Energy" at New Milford:
  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FVC7MEWwHqs
  (video: Vera Scroggins)

Here is a link to a spreadsheet I've been working on to calculate the total costs XNG is spending on this operation.

It's a rough idea, but I've used hard data where I could, and made reasonable guesses otherwise. 

(Thanks to Craig Stevens, Vera Scroggins, and Ray Kemble for help with this research)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EBBivE2FCsduUC71j_P_LB5qZp4JHV3ddVGp6FfcGVg/edit?usp=sharing

Summary:

	50 trucks/day	100 trucks/day
capital costs	$61,000,000	$72,500,000
labor / year	$2.5M	$9.7M
trucks (drivers) needed	13	26
trailers needed	17	34
labor + cap dep. costs per day	$23k	$33k
Cost of gas in NEPA	$2.90 / MCF
1 trailer payload cost	$1,527
mcf/day	26k	53k
payload cost	$76k	$153k
break even -- must sell gas for (expenses + payload cost)	$100k	$186k
must sell @ per mcf	$3.80	$3.54
XNG Forest Lake to Manheim actual midstream costs / MCF	$ 0.9	$ 0.64
vs. pipeline midstream costs / MCF	$0.5

Comments?

Are there buyers downstate, in New England, or in Canada willing to pay $3.80 / MCF?

BH

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be happy and free from suffering :)
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