Monday, May 20, 2013

Susan Arbetter: Please Call Out Steve Greenberg on his BULLSHIT SIena poll





Susan Arbetter: YOUR JOB as a journalist is to ASK TOUGH QUESTIONS
of people in power, and to CHALLENGE THEIR ASSERTIONS. 

Not blindly accept their BS when it does not match observable facts.




If a cop clocks a turtle going 42 MPH, he would CALIBRATE HIS RADAR GUN,
because the reading clearly does not match observable reality.
The Siena poll for THREE YEARS have said that NYers are evenly split on fracking.
How come they don't calibrate their instrument?



There is FUNNY BUSINESS regarding the Siena Polling.

First suspicion:
What is Greenberg's qualifications? Statistical methods?
NOPE! Greenberg is a PSYCHOLOGIST with a background in
PUBLIC RELATIONS! He's a SPIN DOCTOR.

Why does Siena college employ a PR Propagandist in order to shop their Poll Results??
Now, the data:

Siena Polling claims to have shown a consistant 45%-45% split
(or thereabouts) on fracking in NY for TWO YEARS. (No majority either way)

However THIS DOES NOT MATCH OBSERVABLE FACTS.
I have measured a SUPER-MAJORITY against fracking in NY
a half-dozen different ways. Let's just look at THREE.

Senator Libous Poll shows 57% of his constituents  think the DEC is not doing enough to protect NYers. 

WATCH THE VIDEO CLIP: http://splicd.com/HxzX2DoppQE/360/512



Number of comments on DEC documents, indicates exponential growth.
Number of town bans and moratoria, indicate exponential growth.
So why does the Siena Poll not reflect this?WATCH THE VIDEO CLIP: http://splicd.com/HxzX2DoppQE/720/895




Gov. Cuomo has not issued a BAN ON FRACKING
because Greenberg/Siena has his ear,
and have convinced him of a FALSEHOOD,
that is, that the people are split on fracking.
WE ARE NOT SPLIT!
There is a SUPER-MAJORITY of NYers who are against it!
This is the biggest environmental movement in 50 years!

If the Siena Poll does not reflect it,
then THERE IS SOMETHING WRONG with their methods. 

We in the Southern Tier ARE NOT STUPID.
This Poll is PROPAGANDA.
PLEASE REPORT THIS ANOMOLY ON YOUR SHOW.




1: SUPER-MAJORITIES SUPPORT LOCAL BANS
THROUGHOUT AFFECTED AREAS


In May, I did a statewide survey of local groups who are taking ban petitions door to door.
About 30 groups responded, and I was consistently hearing that

OF THE PEOPLE ASKED, consistent super-majorities (2/3) would sign for a ban.
In some places, it's as high as 90% (9/10)
with 80% (4/5) being around the average reported.

Source: http://williamahuston.blogspot.com/2012/07/majorities-oppose-shale-gas-throughout.html


2: COMMENTS AT DEC HEARINGS WERE 81% AGAINST FRACKING

This was also reflected in the comments at the DEC hearings.
I attended and recorded all 11 sessions.
(Oneonta, 2x Dansville, 2x Binghamton, 2x Loch Sheldrake, 2x NYC, Ithaca, Delhi)

Again, of the people who bothered to show up and give a comment,
OVERALL these comments were (drum roll) 81% against fracking.
The audio/video is online.You can see for yourself!

Source: http://tinyurl.com/2011NYSGEISCompleteRecord


3: GANNETT REPORTS DEC COMMENTS WERE 10 -TO- 1 AGAINST FRACKING
Jan 7 2012, Press and Sun Bulletin reported preliminary results based on a FOIL request:
Source: http://www.pressconnects.com/article/20120107/NEWS01/201070339/More-than-18-000-comment-fracking


4: LOCAL BANS UP NEARLY 400%,
MORATORIA UP 900% IN ONE YEAR
According to Fractracker, the number of local bans have quadrupled in one year
(from 8 to 31), and the number moratoria are up a whopping 9x! (from 10 to 90).
And since each ban is based on many local petition signatures, this is hard evidence
of the size of this massive AND GROWING environmental movement sweeping through NY.

One Year Growth in NY Municipal Bans & Moratoria
July-2011 to 2012
http://www.sourcewatch.org/images/archive/5/50/20110818020500%21NY_Local_Bans_Map.png
http://www.fractracker.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/municipal_movements_against_rev07262012_MAP-e1343340686459.jpg

Source: http://www.fractracker.org/fractracker-maps/ny-moratoria/

5: DO THE MATH
In reality, only about 3-5% of the people will get very rich from this, maybe another 10%
in service industries will get moderate benefit. Call it 15%

FOR EVERYONE ELSE, there is only a threat, to water, to air, to food, to quality of life,
a THREAT TO LIFE ITSELF!

So here's a little thought-experiment:

Why you be FOR something that threatens your LIFE and gives you no benefit???
Of course the people are against fracking!This threat is beyond an intellectual "understanding".

Our bodies are 80% water. This threat to water is FELT IN THE BODY.
6: Tom Libous Poll shows 57% of his constituents do not feel the DEC regs protect NYers:
http://blog.shaleshockmedia.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/Libous-Fracking-Survey-2.png
7: Number of comments on regulatory documents indications Exponential Growth.

http://blog.shaleshockmedia.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/growth-of-NY-anti-fracking-movement.jpg


WHY does the Siena poll not reflect 1) the actual size of the NY anti-fracking movement (super-majority)
nor 2) the apparent exponential growth measured TWO DIFFERENT WAYS?

Thanks,
Bill Huston,
From the heart of the Sacrifice Zone


--
--
May you, and all beings
be happy and free from suffering :)
-- ancient Buddhist Prayer (Metta)

2 comments:

Mark Ohe said...

I agree that for some time now the Sienna Polls have been very suspect in regards to accuracy.

Corncrib said...

Also, it's not standard practice to add the "No Opinion" to the "Support" and pretend that constitutes a majority.